Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Beniers 42.9% (+13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 74.2%
Defensive zone
Beniers 66.3%
Neutral zone
Beniers 79.1%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 72.5%
27.5%
72.5%
Staal
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Staal
Beniers
Last 8: Staal 2-6 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
3
Staal
Beniers
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
2
Staal
Beniers
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Beniers
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
42.3% (879)
+14.0%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
40.3% (72)
+20.9%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
44.4% (18)
+7.7%
On power play, Staal has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Beniers is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
Staal
Beniers
Home
58.3% (705)
43.8% (495)
Away
53.3% (769)
40.5% (474)
By Period
Staal
Beniers
P1
54.5%
43.3%
P2
58.2%
45.6%
P3
54.1%
38.2%
OT
60.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
54.9%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 01:20 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:05 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:11 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |