Matty Beniers vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Beniers wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 49.4% vs McCarron 52.5% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 85.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 71.6%
Neutral zone
Beniers 53.3%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Beniers
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Beniers
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Beniers
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (833)
53.1% (672)
-4.2%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
18.2% (11)
+40.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
53.7% (205)
-3.7%
On power play, Beniers has a +40.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Beniers is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Beniers shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Beniers
McCarron
Home
52.4% (460)
52.8% (477)
Away
46.0% (441)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Beniers
McCarron
P1
48.4%
56.5%
P2
51.1%
53.2%
P3
47.8%
49.0%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |