Matty Beniers vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Beniers wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.7% vs McCarron 52.7% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 94.0%
Defensive zone
Beniers 63.9%
Neutral zone
Beniers 79.6%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Beniers
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Beniers
McCarron
Last 10: Beniers 3-7 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
McCarron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
7
Beniers
McCarron
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
3
Beniers
McCarron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,796)
53.4% (2,901)
-6.8%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
45.3% (86)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
50.5% (463)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Beniers is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,447).
Beniers shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
Home / Away
Beniers
McCarron
Home
48.9% (2,195)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
44.2% (2,072)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Beniers
McCarron
P1
47.4%
53.9%
P2
47.1%
52.5%
P3
45.7%
52.0%
OT
34.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |