Matty Beniers vs Michael McCarron
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beniers wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.8% vs McCarron 54.0% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 87.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 60.5%
Neutral zone
Beniers 65.3%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Beniers
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Beniers
McCarron
Last 7: Beniers 2-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
McCarron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
3
Beniers
McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,050)
54.2% (756)
-5.9%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
55.6% (9)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
55.1% (158)
-11.5%
On power play, McCarron has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Beniers is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (373).
Beniers shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Beniers
McCarron
Home
48.7% (630)
54.6% (445)
Away
46.5% (564)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Beniers
McCarron
P1
49.2%
53.6%
P2
45.0%
55.6%
P3
49.3%
53.7%
OT
22.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |