Matty Beniers vs Michael McCarron
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beniers wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.6% vs McCarron 52.8% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 86.8%
Defensive zone
Beniers 67.8%
Neutral zone
Beniers 69.5%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Beniers
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Beniers
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
3
Beniers
McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Beniers
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (945)
54.5% (618)
-7.2%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
42.1% (19)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
23.8% (21)
35.3% (34)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Beniers is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Beniers shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Beniers
McCarron
Home
49.6% (565)
52.2% (339)
Away
45.2% (546)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Beniers
McCarron
P1
48.0%
53.5%
P2
49.0%
50.6%
P3
46.5%
55.9%
Final 5 min
51.5%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |