Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.7%). Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 49.4% vs Backlund 49.7% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 82.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 69.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.4%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Beniers
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Beniers
Backlund
Last 10: Beniers 3-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
2
Beniers
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Beniers
Backlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
5
Beniers
Backlund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (833)
50.1% (891)
-1.2%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
53.1% (64)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
47.8% (278)
+2.2%
On power play, Beniers has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Beniers is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Beniers shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Beniers
Backlund
Home
52.4% (460)
48.1% (580)
Away
46.0% (441)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Beniers
Backlund
P1
48.4%
45.1%
P2
51.1%
54.7%
P3
47.8%
49.0%
OT
66.7%
46.2%
Final 5 min
45.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 03:20 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 06:33 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 12:51 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:13 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:34 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:56 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |