Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.4%). Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.8% vs Backlund 48.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 79.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 60.6%
Neutral zone
Beniers 51.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Beniers
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Beniers
Backlund
Last 10: Beniers 3-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
0
Beniers
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
4
Beniers
Backlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
6
Beniers
Backlund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,050)
50.4% (1,032)
-2.1%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
52.3% (107)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
40.6% (313)
+3.0%
On power play, Backlund has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Beniers shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Beniers
Backlund
Home
48.7% (630)
48.7% (749)
Away
46.5% (564)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Beniers
Backlund
P1
49.2%
50.4%
P2
45.0%
50.1%
P3
49.3%
45.8%
OT
22.2%
30.8%
Final 5 min
45.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 16:23 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:03 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 19:51 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |