Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.6% vs Backlund 50.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 53.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 86.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 71.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Beniers
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Beniers
Backlund
Last 10: Beniers 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
8
0
Beniers
Backlund
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
5
Beniers
Backlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
0
Beniers
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (945)
51.0% (1,205)
-3.7%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
59.3% (108)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
23.8% (21)
42.3% (234)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Beniers is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Beniers shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Beniers
Backlund
Home
49.6% (565)
51.2% (782)
Away
45.2% (546)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Beniers
Backlund
P1
48.0%
51.5%
P2
49.0%
49.8%
P3
46.5%
49.9%
OT
23.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 18:31 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |