Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Beniers wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 42.9% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 81.4%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 65.7%
Neutral zone
Beniers 57.6%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Beniers
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Beniers
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Beniers
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (879)
49.4% (867)
-7.1%
Power Play
40.3% (72)
56.0% (25)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
40.7% (216)
+3.7%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Beniers is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Beniers shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Beniers
Bjugstad
Home
43.8% (495)
46.5% (480)
Away
40.5% (474)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Beniers
Bjugstad
P1
43.3%
48.7%
P2
45.6%
45.6%
P3
38.2%
49.1%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |