Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 47.4%). Beniers wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.8% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 50.1%
Defensive zone
Beniers 53.0%
Neutral zone
Beniers 52.1%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Beniers
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Beniers
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Beniers
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,050)
46.7% (398)
+1.6%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
51.6% (31)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
62.5% (8)
-18.9%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Beniers is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (373).
Beniers shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Beniers
Bjugstad
Home
48.7% (630)
47.3% (220)
Away
46.5% (564)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Beniers
Bjugstad
P1
49.2%
46.1%
P2
45.0%
46.3%
P3
49.3%
50.4%
Final 5 min
45.6%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |