Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beniers wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.6% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 70.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 69.5%
Neutral zone
Beniers 50.7%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Beniers
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Beniers
Bjugstad
Last 10: Beniers 3-7 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
5
2
Beniers
Bjugstad
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
4
Beniers
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
4
Beniers
Bjugstad
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (945)
50.7% (906)
-3.4%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
48.1% (108)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
23.8% (21)
44.4% (239)
-20.6%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Beniers is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Beniers shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Beniers
Bjugstad
Home
49.6% (565)
49.8% (643)
Away
45.2% (546)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Beniers
Bjugstad
P1
48.0%
49.4%
P2
49.0%
50.5%
P3
46.5%
47.9%
OT
23.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 11:27 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 02:52 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 01:58 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |