Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.6% vs Foligno 52.0% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 74.8%
Defensive zone
Beniers 54.1%
Neutral zone
Foligno 63.2%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 74.8%
25.2%
74.8%
Beniers
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Beniers
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
1
Beniers
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (945)
53.4% (249)
-6.1%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
53.2% (154)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
23.8% (21)
40.6% (32)
-16.8%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Beniers is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Beniers shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Beniers
Foligno
Home
49.6% (565)
57.3% (225)
Away
45.2% (546)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Beniers
Foligno
P1
48.0%
53.0%
P2
49.0%
51.8%
P3
46.5%
52.6%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |