Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.7% vs Foligno 48.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 59.1%
Defensive zone
Beniers 62.5%
Neutral zone
Beniers 60.7%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Beniers
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Beniers
Foligno
Last 10: Beniers 4-6 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
4
6
Beniers
Foligno
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
4
Beniers
Foligno
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Beniers
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,796)
48.3% (2,810)
-1.7%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
52.3% (730)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
44.0% (455)
-2.6%
On power play, Foligno has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,820).
Beniers shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
Beniers
Foligno
Home
48.9% (2,195)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
44.2% (2,072)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Beniers
Foligno
P1
47.4%
47.6%
P2
47.1%
50.4%
P3
45.7%
48.3%
OT
34.1%
29.7%
Final 5 min
46.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:02 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |