Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.4%). Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.8% vs Foligno 48.6% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 66.6%
Defensive zone
Beniers 55.7%
Neutral zone
Beniers 58.3%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Beniers
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Beniers
Foligno
Last 10: Beniers 3-7 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
4
Beniers
Foligno
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
3
Beniers
Foligno
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,050)
48.7% (495)
-0.4%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
56.9% (65)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
43.8% (144)
-0.2%
On power play, Foligno has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Beniers shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Beniers
Foligno
Home
48.7% (630)
49.6% (359)
Away
46.5% (564)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Beniers
Foligno
P1
49.2%
46.7%
P2
45.0%
52.7%
P3
49.3%
46.7%
OT
22.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.6%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:02 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |