Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beniers wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 42.9% vs Roy 48.3% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 89.1%
Defensive zone
Beniers 67.2%
Neutral zone
Beniers 73.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Beniers
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Beniers
Roy
Last 7: Beniers 1-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Beniers
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Beniers
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Beniers
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (879)
48.3% (633)
-6.0%
Power Play
40.3% (72)
52.1% (48)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
43.7% (87)
+0.7%
On power play, Roy has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Beniers is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Beniers shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Beniers
Roy
Home
43.8% (495)
50.8% (376)
Away
40.5% (474)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Beniers
Roy
P1
43.3%
53.8%
P2
45.6%
43.5%
P3
38.2%
46.4%
OT
36.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 08:51 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 16:24 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |