Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 47.7%). Beniers wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.8% vs Roy 47.9% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 59.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 54.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.5%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Beniers
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Beniers
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Beniers
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Beniers
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,050)
48.6% (679)
-0.3%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
48.0% (50)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
34.7% (49)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Beniers is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (373).
Beniers shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Beniers
Roy
Home
48.7% (630)
49.3% (345)
Away
46.5% (564)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Beniers
Roy
P1
49.2%
47.6%
P2
45.0%
47.1%
P3
49.3%
47.9%
OT
22.2%
75.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%