Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 46.8%). Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beniers wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.6% vs Roy 47.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 70.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 72.9%
Neutral zone
Beniers 51.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Beniers
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Beniers
Roy
Last 9: Beniers 3-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
0
Beniers
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
4
Beniers
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Beniers
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (945)
47.5% (617)
-0.2%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
39.6% (53)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
23.8% (21)
46.4% (97)
-22.6%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Beniers is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Beniers shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Beniers
Roy
Home
49.6% (565)
47.2% (398)
Away
45.2% (546)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Beniers
Roy
P1
48.0%
48.6%
P2
49.0%
48.8%
P3
46.5%
43.9%
OT
23.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:42 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:48 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |