Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beniers wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 49.4% vs Hartman 45.5% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 64.4%
Defensive zone
Beniers 55.8%
Neutral zone
Beniers 51.8%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Beniers
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Beniers
Hartman
Last 5: Beniers 3-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Beniers
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (833)
44.8% (830)
+4.1%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
47.8% (92)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
37.5% (16)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Beniers is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Beniers shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Beniers
Hartman
Home
52.4% (460)
45.0% (515)
Away
46.0% (441)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Beniers
Hartman
P1
48.4%
46.5%
P2
51.1%
39.9%
P3
47.8%
48.6%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 15:31 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:24 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |