Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 47.0%). Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Beniers wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.6% vs Hartman 47.3% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 55.2%
Defensive zone
Hartman 55.4%
Neutral zone
Beniers 51.6%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Beniers
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Beniers
Hartman
Last 9: Beniers 6-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
5
0
Beniers
Hartman
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
3
Beniers
Hartman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (945)
47.1% (649)
+0.2%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
47.1% (68)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
23.8% (21)
45.2% (73)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Beniers is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Beniers shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Beniers
Hartman
Home
49.6% (565)
46.5% (361)
Away
45.2% (546)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Beniers
Hartman
P1
48.0%
45.1%
P2
49.0%
44.4%
P3
46.5%
50.9%
OT
23.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:18 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |