Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 47.8%). Beniers wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.8% vs Hartman 48.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 51.9%
Defensive zone
Hartman 52.7%
Neutral zone
Hartman 56.1%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Beniers
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Beniers
Hartman
Last 7: Beniers 4-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Beniers
Hartman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,050)
48.1% (520)
+0.2%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
44.7% (47)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
47.8% (23)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Beniers is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (373).
Beniers shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Beniers
Hartman
Home
48.7% (630)
48.3% (360)
Away
46.5% (564)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Beniers
Hartman
P1
49.2%
48.5%
P2
45.0%
45.2%
P3
49.3%
49.6%
OT
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2025 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 12, 2024 | OT | 03:37 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 02:47 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |