Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.2% vs 42.9%). Beniers wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 42.9% vs Hartman 44.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 51.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 58.5%
Neutral zone
Hartman 56.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Beniers
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Beniers
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (879)
42.6% (495)
-0.3%
Power Play
40.3% (72)
38.5% (26)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
48.8% (43)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Beniers is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Beniers shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Beniers
Hartman
Home
43.8% (495)
43.4% (288)
Away
40.5% (474)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Beniers
Hartman
P1
43.3%
43.1%
P2
45.6%
43.4%
P3
38.2%
42.0%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |