Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.8% vs Monahan 52.4% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 71.4%
Defensive zone
Monahan 62.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 84.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Beniers
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Beniers
Monahan
Last 9: Beniers 6-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
4
2
Beniers
Monahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,050)
52.4% (853)
-4.1%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
58.6% (174)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
46.5% (144)
-2.9%
On power play, Monahan has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Beniers shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Beniers
Monahan
Home
48.7% (630)
53.4% (624)
Away
46.5% (564)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Beniers
Monahan
P1
49.2%
53.7%
P2
45.0%
52.4%
P3
49.3%
51.6%
OT
22.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:20 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |