Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.7% vs Monahan 51.3% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 63.2%
Defensive zone
Beniers 67.4%
Neutral zone
Beniers 64.8%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Beniers
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
14
(25 meetings)
11
14
Beniers
Monahan
Last 10: Beniers 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
6
2
Beniers
Monahan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
7
Beniers
Monahan
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
5
Beniers
Monahan
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,796)
51.1% (11,356)
-4.5%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
53.7% (2,580)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
46.0% (766)
-4.6%
On power play, Monahan has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,820).
Beniers shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Beniers
Monahan
Home
48.9% (2,195)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
44.2% (2,072)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Beniers
Monahan
P1
47.4%
50.9%
P2
47.1%
51.7%
P3
45.7%
51.0%
OT
34.1%
53.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:20 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:54 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 07:42 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:58 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |