Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 49.2% vs Monahan 53.1% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 60.2%
Defensive zone
Beniers 60.8%
Neutral zone
Beniers 57.3%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Beniers
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Beniers
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Beniers
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Beniers
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (647)
53.8% (664)
-5.0%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
53.3% (137)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
50.0% (62)
+0.0%
On even strength, Monahan has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Beniers is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Beniers shoots left. Monahan is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Beniers
Monahan
Home
52.7% (357)
54.8% (405)
Away
45.4% (348)
52.2% (458)
By Period
Beniers
Monahan
P1
47.9%
49.6%
P2
51.9%
53.9%
P3
46.8%
55.2%
OT
66.7%
65.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
49.1%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |