Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 49.4% vs Monahan 52.8% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 68.6%
Defensive zone
Beniers 69.5%
Neutral zone
Beniers 67.7%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Beniers
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Beniers
Monahan
Last 5: Beniers 1-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Beniers
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Beniers
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (833)
53.2% (823)
-4.3%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
55.3% (159)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
48.4% (95)
+1.6%
On even strength, Monahan has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Beniers is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Beniers shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Beniers
Monahan
Home
52.4% (460)
54.6% (529)
Away
46.0% (441)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Beniers
Monahan
P1
48.4%
49.0%
P2
51.1%
55.4%
P3
47.8%
53.6%
OT
66.7%
61.9%
Final 5 min
45.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |