Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Beniers wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 42.9% vs Aho 51.2% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 51.4%
Defensive zone
Beniers 61.0%
Neutral zone
Beniers 54.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Beniers
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Beniers
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Beniers
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (879)
48.5% (778)
-6.2%
Power Play
40.3% (72)
63.4% (191)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
50.8% (65)
-6.4%
On power play, Aho has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Beniers is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Beniers shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Beniers
Aho
Home
43.8% (495)
51.3% (530)
Away
40.5% (474)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Beniers
Aho
P1
43.3%
50.0%
P2
45.6%
51.3%
P3
38.2%
52.1%
OT
36.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
42.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:07 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:45 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |