Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.8% vs Aho 54.9% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 85.6%
Defensive zone
Aho 50.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 75.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Beniers
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Beniers
Aho
Last 9: Beniers 6-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Beniers
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
1
Beniers
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
0
Beniers
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,050)
54.5% (870)
-6.2%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
62.4% (266)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
37.1% (62)
+6.5%
On power play, Aho has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Beniers shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Beniers
Aho
Home
48.7% (630)
53.9% (603)
Away
46.5% (564)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Beniers
Aho
P1
49.2%
54.1%
P2
45.0%
55.0%
P3
49.3%
57.4%
OT
22.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.6%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 10:02 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 13:57 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:32 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |