Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Beniers wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 42.9% vs Hertl 54.5% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 50.4%
Defensive zone
Beniers 60.6%
Neutral zone
Beniers 58.1%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Beniers
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Beniers
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Beniers
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (879)
54.1% (1,117)
-11.8%
Power Play
40.3% (72)
59.8% (296)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
34.4% (32)
+10.0%
On power play, Hertl has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Beniers is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Beniers shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Beniers
Hertl
Home
43.8% (495)
54.3% (709)
Away
40.5% (474)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Beniers
Hertl
P1
43.3%
51.6%
P2
45.6%
53.6%
P3
38.2%
58.6%
OT
36.4%
45.5%
Final 5 min
42.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 01:18 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |