Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.6% vs Hertl 56.8% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 80.7%
Defensive zone
Beniers 85.9%
Neutral zone
Beniers 82.5%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Beniers
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Beniers
Hertl
Last 8: Beniers 1-7 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Beniers
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Beniers
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
4
Beniers
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (945)
57.0% (718)
-9.7%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
64.9% (188)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
23.8% (21)
44.2% (77)
-20.4%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Beniers is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Beniers shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Beniers
Hertl
Home
49.6% (565)
59.2% (463)
Away
45.2% (546)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Beniers
Hertl
P1
48.0%
56.3%
P2
49.0%
55.4%
P3
46.5%
60.5%
OT
23.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 15:46 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 12:08 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 02:28 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |