Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.8% vs Hertl 55.4% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 93.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 72.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 89.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 84.1%
15.9%
84.1%
Beniers
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Beniers
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
0
Beniers
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
0
Beniers
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
1
Beniers
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,050)
54.1% (717)
-5.8%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
61.9% (210)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
58.1% (31)
-14.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Beniers shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Beniers
Hertl
Home
48.7% (630)
58.1% (492)
Away
46.5% (564)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Beniers
Hertl
P1
49.2%
57.1%
P2
45.0%
54.0%
P3
49.3%
56.6%
OT
22.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:43 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |