Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Beniers wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.6% vs Johnston 50.1% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnston 57.1%
Defensive zone
Johnston 79.6%
Neutral zone
Johnston 68.8%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Beniers
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Beniers
Johnston
Last 10: Beniers 9-1 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
5
0
Beniers
Johnston
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
1
Beniers
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
0
Beniers
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (945)
50.7% (552)
-3.4%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
61.5% (13)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
23.8% (21)
43.5% (69)
-19.7%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Beniers is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Beniers shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Beniers
Johnston
Home
49.6% (565)
50.3% (342)
Away
45.2% (546)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Beniers
Johnston
P1
48.0%
54.4%
P2
49.0%
47.2%
P3
46.5%
49.4%
OT
23.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 12:23 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 09:26 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:20 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 10:20 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |