Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Beniers wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.8% vs Johnston 51.0% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 72.5%
Defensive zone
Beniers 63.8%
Neutral zone
Beniers 62.1%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Beniers
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Beniers
Johnston
Last 9: Beniers 2-7 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
3
Beniers
Johnston
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
Beniers
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
Beniers
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,050)
52.6% (696)
-4.3%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
52.3% (88)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
42.4% (125)
+1.2%
On power play, Johnston has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Beniers is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (373).
Beniers shoots left. Johnston is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Beniers
Johnston
Home
48.7% (630)
52.8% (458)
Away
46.5% (564)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Beniers
Johnston
P1
49.2%
48.9%
P2
45.0%
52.3%
P3
49.3%
51.4%
OT
22.2%
70.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2025 | 3 | 17:31 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 11:50 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:26 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |