Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Beniers wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 49.4% vs Johnston 48.5% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 54.7%
Defensive zone
Beniers 50.4%
Neutral zone
Johnston 51.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Beniers
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Beniers
Johnston
Last 10: Beniers 6-4 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Beniers
Johnston
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
2
Beniers
Johnston
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (833)
47.8% (623)
+1.1%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
50.8% (63)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
51.4% (35)
-1.4%
On power play, Beniers has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Beniers is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Beniers shoots left. Johnston is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Beniers
Johnston
Home
52.4% (460)
47.6% (351)
Away
46.0% (441)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Beniers
Johnston
P1
48.4%
49.6%
P2
51.1%
47.3%
P3
47.8%
48.0%
OT
66.7%
46.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:09 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |