Scouting Report
Mavrik Bourque holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bourque 49.1% vs Kelly 41.8% (+9.4%)
Offensive zone
Kelly 52.4%
Defensive zone
Kelly 60.2%
Neutral zone
Kelly 50.1%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Bourque
Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bourque
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (6)
22.9% (35)
+10.4%
On even strength, Bourque has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Bourque is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (4).
Bourque shoots right. Kelly is 35.3% vs right-shot opponents (17).
By Period
Bourque
Kelly
P1
0.0%
22.2%
P2
50.0%
23.5%
P3
0.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
0.0%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bourque
48.0%▲
43.5%
33.3%
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
23.9%