Scouting Report
Mavrik Bourque holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Bourque wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bourque 46.7% vs Kelly 41.6% (+8.4%)
Offensive zone
Kelly 50.2%
Defensive zone
Bourque 53.7%
Neutral zone
Kelly 52.0%
Result
Mavrik Bourque favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Bourque
Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bourque
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (181)
36.3% (157)
+10.7%
Power Play
25.0% (16)
0.0% (1)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
45.5% (11)
-2.6%
On power play, Bourque has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Bourque is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Bourque shoots right. Kelly is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Bourque
Kelly
Home
41.9% (105)
35.9% (78)
Away
48.5% (99)
37.4% (91)
By Period
Bourque
Kelly
P1
39.7%
34.3%
P2
39.3%
36.0%
P3
52.9%
40.4%
Final 5 min
44.2%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bourque
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.1%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.7%