Scouting Report
Mavrik Bourque holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Bourque wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bourque 46.7% vs Nosek 46.9% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Bourque 51.0%
Defensive zone
Bourque 56.7%
Neutral zone
Nosek 50.2%
Result
Mavrik Bourque favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Bourque
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bourque
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (181)
48.5% (66)
-1.5%
Power Play
25.0% (16)
100.0% (1)
-75.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
29.6% (27)
+13.3%
On power play, Nosek has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Bourque is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Bourque shoots right. Nosek is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Bourque
Nosek
Home
41.9% (105)
44.0% (25)
Away
48.5% (99)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Bourque
Nosek
P1
39.7%
46.4%
P2
39.3%
34.2%
P3
52.9%
53.6%
Final 5 min
44.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bourque
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.1%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.6%