Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Bourque wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bourque 47.1% vs Ostapchuk 49.0% (-2.3%)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 62.6%
Defensive zone
Bourque 59.6%
Neutral zone
Bourque 53.4%
Result
Mavrik Bourque favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Bourque
Ostapchuk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bourque
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (321)
48.3% (271)
-1.6%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
25.0% (4)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (21)
71.4% (7)
-28.5%
On penalty kill, Ostapchuk has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Bourque is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Bourque shoots right. Ostapchuk is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Bourque
Ostapchuk
Home
51.0% (157)
49.3% (140)
Away
42.4% (191)
47.9% (142)
By Period
Bourque
Ostapchuk
P1
44.2%
49.1%
P2
44.7%
48.9%
P3
49.6%
47.5%
Final 5 min
59.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bourque
50.0%▲
46.0%
46.3%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.6%