Mavrik Bourque vs Zack Ostapchuk
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Bourque wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bourque 46.4% vs Ostapchuk 48.4% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bourque 54.0%
Defensive zone
Bourque 58.4%
Neutral zone
Bourque 58.5%
Result
Mavrik Bourque favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Bourque
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Bourque
Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Bourque
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Bourque
Ostapchuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bourque
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (508)
48.5% (612)
-1.8%
Power Play
27.3% (22)
28.6% (7)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
46.8% (62)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Ostapchuk has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Bourque is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Bourque shoots right. Ostapchuk is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Bourque
Ostapchuk
Home
47.3% (262)
48.6% (319)
Away
44.3% (296)
47.8% (362)
By Period
Bourque
Ostapchuk
P1
42.4%
48.2%
P2
42.9%
45.8%
P3
50.7%
50.5%
Final 5 min
52.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bourque
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.7%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |