Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 41.4% vs Domi 45.3% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 54.9%
Defensive zone
Domi 76.8%
Neutral zone
Domi 57.1%
Result
Max Domi favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Mittelstadt
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Mittelstadt
Domi
Last 5: Mittelstadt 3-2 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Domi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Domi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (501)
43.6% (826)
-4.5%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
51.6% (157)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
46.2% (13)
-46.2%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Mittelstadt is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (326).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Domi is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Domi
Home
43.2% (280)
46.4% (524)
Away
35.9% (256)
43.2% (472)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Domi
P1
41.8%
45.2%
P2
37.6%
42.7%
P3
39.6%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
34.9%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
39.7%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2018 | OT | 00:45 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 09:14 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Max Domi |