Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Domi 50.9% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 60.9%
Defensive zone
McDavid 53.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 56.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
McDavid
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McDavid
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
McDavid
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (650)
50.4% (254)
-2.9%
Power Play
48.6% (72)
59.3% (27)
-10.7%
On power play, Domi has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. McDavid is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (554).
McDavid shoots left. Domi is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
McDavid
Domi
Home
50.2% (400)
50.0% (174)
Away
44.7% (365)
53.3% (107)
By Period
McDavid
Domi
P1
47.5%
45.7%
P2
48.6%
51.5%
P3
46.7%
57.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 07:42 | Neutral | Max Domi |