Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (52% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Hertl 54.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 26-23 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 59.5%
Defensive zone
Domi 62.7%
Neutral zone
Domi 60.9%
Result
Max Domi favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Domi
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
26
(49 meetings)
23
26
Domi
Hertl
Last 10: Domi 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
10
11
Domi
Hertl
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
9
10
Domi
Hertl
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
4
5
Domi
Hertl
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,296)
53.8% (8,268)
-5.7%
Power Play
53.4% (633)
59.3% (1,975)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
46.3% (806)
+2.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Domi shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Domi
Hertl
Home
49.7% (2,604)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
47.8% (2,366)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Domi
Hertl
P1
48.7%
53.6%
P2
48.3%
54.1%
P3
49.8%
55.3%
OT
43.5%
46.5%
Final 5 min
51.0%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 01:33 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 15:22 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Max Domi |