Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.2% vs Hertl 55.4% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 88.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 64.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 78.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 78.1%
21.9%
78.1%
Domi
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Domi
Hertl
Last 8: Domi 6-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
3
1
Domi
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
2
1
Domi
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
1
0
Domi
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (499)
54.1% (717)
-4.4%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
61.9% (210)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
58.1% (31)
-58.1%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +58.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Domi is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Domi shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Domi
Hertl
Home
51.0% (298)
58.1% (492)
Away
49.2% (246)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Domi
Hertl
P1
54.8%
57.1%
P2
48.9%
54.0%
P3
46.4%
56.6%
Final 5 min
45.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 01:33 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Max Domi |