Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.0% vs Hertl 56.8% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 76.6%
Defensive zone
Domi 76.6%
Neutral zone
Domi 74.9%
Result
Max Domi favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Domi
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Domi
Hertl
Last 6: Domi 0-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
5
Domi
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Domi
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (394)
57.0% (718)
-7.3%
Power Play
51.7% (58)
64.9% (188)
-13.2%
On power play, Hertl has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Domi is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Domi shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Domi
Hertl
Home
53.2% (235)
59.2% (463)
Away
46.5% (217)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Domi
Hertl
P1
54.4%
56.3%
P2
46.6%
55.4%
P3
49.6%
60.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 15:22 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |