Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Domi wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 53.3% vs Gourde 49.7% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 60.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 63.8%
Neutral zone
Gourde 63.8%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Domi
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Domi
Gourde
Last 5: Domi 1-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Domi
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (847)
49.1% (847)
+4.7%
Power Play
52.1% (96)
79.5% (44)
-27.4%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
39.5% (81)
+17.6%
On power play, Gourde has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Domi is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Domi shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Domi
Gourde
Home
53.9% (445)
50.1% (491)
Away
53.5% (505)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Domi
Gourde
P1
51.4%
54.7%
P2
55.3%
45.0%
P3
54.7%
49.4%
OT
41.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |