Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.2%). Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Gourde 48.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 32-24 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 67.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 68.5%
Neutral zone
Gourde 52.0%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Domi
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
32
(56 meetings)
24
32
Domi
Gourde
Last 10: Domi 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
9
9
Domi
Gourde
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
8
9
Domi
Gourde
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
7
14
Domi
Gourde
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,296)
48.4% (4,954)
-0.3%
Power Play
53.4% (633)
57.4% (376)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
39.9% (554)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Domi shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Domi
Gourde
Home
49.7% (2,604)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
47.8% (2,366)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Domi
Gourde
P1
48.7%
49.9%
P2
48.3%
47.4%
P3
49.8%
47.5%
OT
43.5%
37.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 16:09 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 19:23 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 3 | 12:36 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 3 | 07:43 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |