Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.9% vs Gourde 46.0% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 64.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 66.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 53.8%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Domi
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Domi
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (254)
47.2% (654)
+3.2%
Power Play
59.3% (27)
45.0% (20)
+14.3%
On power play, Domi has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Domi is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Domi shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Domi
Gourde
Home
50.0% (174)
44.1% (322)
Away
53.3% (107)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Domi
Gourde
P1
45.7%
42.4%
P2
51.5%
49.8%
P3
57.3%
44.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 16:09 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Max Domi |