Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Amadio wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 46.5% vs Sturm 52.5% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Amadio 76.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 67.7%
Neutral zone
Amadio 52.7%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Amadio
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Amadio
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Amadio
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (72)
54.0% (480)
-12.3%
On even strength, Sturm has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Amadio is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (49).
Amadio shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Amadio
Sturm
Home
36.1% (36)
54.0% (287)
Away
47.2% (36)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Amadio
Sturm
P1
50.0%
53.5%
P2
34.2%
51.0%
P3
50.0%
55.1%
Final 5 min
47.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
41.7%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 06:08 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |