Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Amadio wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 47.4% vs Sturm 56.1% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Amadio 93.0%
Defensive zone
Amadio 63.5%
Neutral zone
Amadio 78.5%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Amadio
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Amadio
Sturm
Last 10: Amadio 2-8 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
2
Amadio
Sturm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
3
Amadio
Sturm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
5
Amadio
Sturm
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (1,363)
57.1% (2,719)
-9.8%
Power Play
50.9% (57)
61.3% (62)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
51.0% (498)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Amadio is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,045).
Amadio shoots right. Sturm is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,093).
Home / Away
Amadio
Sturm
Home
47.3% (656)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
47.3% (787)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Amadio
Sturm
P1
50.5%
56.5%
P2
44.8%
54.9%
P3
46.7%
57.4%
Final 5 min
49.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:32 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 19:18 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 17:08 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 04:44 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 06:08 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |