Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Amadio wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 50.5% vs Sturm 57.1% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Amadio 64.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 67.4%
Neutral zone
Sturm 50.1%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Amadio
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Amadio
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Amadio
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Amadio
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (92)
62.1% (356)
-11.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
75.0% (4)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
38.7% (62)
-5.4%
On power play, Amadio has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Amadio is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Amadio shoots right. Sturm is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Amadio
Sturm
Home
57.4% (47)
61.8% (191)
Away
44.9% (49)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Amadio
Sturm
P1
55.9%
58.0%
P2
55.3%
57.9%
P3
37.5%
60.6%
Final 5 min
44.4%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:32 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |