Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 48.7% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Amadio 50.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 56.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.4%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Amadio
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Amadio
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Amadio
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (14)
55.4% (826)
-5.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
57.9% (221)
-57.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.4% (129)
-50.4%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Amadio is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Amadio shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Amadio
O'Reilly
Home
50.0% (6)
55.8% (579)
Away
36.4% (11)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Amadio
O'Reilly
P1
42.9%
57.7%
P2
33.3%
54.8%
P3
50.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
41.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |