Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 50.9% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 50.1%
Defensive zone
Amadio 60.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 53.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Amadio
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Amadio
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Amadio
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
55.0% (1,084)
-3.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
56.8% (303)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
40.3% (149)
+26.4%
On penalty kill, Amadio has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Amadio is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Amadio shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Amadio
O'Reilly
Home
50.6% (85)
54.8% (759)
Away
53.1% (49)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Amadio
O'Reilly
P1
62.2%
55.3%
P2
43.2%
51.9%
P3
48.9%
54.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |